Porto 1-0 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 May 2026

Porto
1-0 HT 1-0
Alverca
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Porto vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
83%
1.22
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
5%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
83%
Home Win
77%
+6.5pp
12%
Draw
15%
-3.6pp
5%
Away Win
8%
-2.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porto v Alverca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.43/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.84
-5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
21.2 Crosses 8.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Porto vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Alverca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.16 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
438 Passes 255
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.12.2025 Alverca Alverca 0-3 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
25.04.2004 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POR
22.12.2003 Alverca Alverca 1-2 HT 1-2 Porto Porto POR
16.03.2002 Porto Porto 0-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POR
28.10.2001 Alverca Alverca 0-1 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
01.04.2001 Alverca Alverca 1-3 HT 1-1 Porto Porto POR

Porto 1-0 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
1-0
AWAY Alverca
0.65 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
383 Passes 246
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Porto vs Alverca
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Porto edged past Alverca 1-0 in the Portugal - Premier League on 2 May 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Porto had 56% of the ball to Alverca's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.68.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Porto and 0.33 for Alverca.

What was the final score of Porto vs Alverca?

Porto 1-0 Alverca in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Alverca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Porto 83%, draw 12%, Alverca 5%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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