Arouca vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arouca v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals
Arouca vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Santa Clara
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Arouca
PORLC
1-2
HT 0-0
Arouca
POR
Arouca 2-2 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics
Arouca and Santa Clara couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Arouca had 51% of the ball to Santa Clara's 49%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.96 to 1.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arouca and 0.67 for Santa Clara.
What was the final score of Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Arouca 2-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arouca 36%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5 went the other way.