Famalicao 2-2 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 May 2026

Famalicao
2-2 HT 0-2
Benfica
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Famalicao vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.73
1/2
8%
21.8
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
9%
9.83
X/2
11%
4.18
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
32%
2.09
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Famalicao v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 60%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.32/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.05
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.3 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Famalicao vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Benfica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 1.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
279 Passes 449
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2025 Benfica Benfica 1-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
17.01.2025 Benfica Benfica 4-0 HT 2-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
11.08.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 2-0 HT 1-0 Benfica Benfica POR
05.05.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 2-0 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
29.12.2023 Benfica Benfica 3-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
25.11.2023 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POK

Famalicao 2-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
2-2
AWAY Benfica
1.58 xG 1.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 248
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao and Benfica shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Famalicao had 57% of the ball to Benfica's 43%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.58 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Famalicao and 1.67 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Benfica?

Famalicao 2-2 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 25%, draw 24%, Benfica 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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