Famalicao vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Famalicao v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Famalicao vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Famalicao
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Famalicao
POK
2-0
HT 1-0
Famalicao
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Famalicao
POR
Famalicao 2-0 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Famalicao got the better of Benfica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Famalicao had 35% of the ball to Benfica's 65%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.47 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Famalicao and 1.33 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Benfica?
Famalicao 2-0 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 26%, draw 24%, Benfica 49%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.