Famalicao 2-0 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 5 May 2024

Famalicao
2-0 HT 0-0
Benfica
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Famalicao vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.2
1/2
5%
19.9
1/X
6%
19.0
X/1
6%
14.1
X/2
19%
3.65
X/X
10%
7.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.68
2/X
7%
18.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Famalicao v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 70%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.16/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.02
+8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
18.2 Crosses 19.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Famalicao vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Benfica
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.61 xG 1.69
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
254 Passes 523
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Benfica Benfica 3-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
25.11.2023 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POK
04.03.2023 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
10.09.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 0-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
23.04.2022 Benfica Benfica 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
12.12.2021 Famalicao Famalicao 1-4 HT 1-2 Benfica Benfica POR

Famalicao 2-0 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
2-0
AWAY Benfica
0.80 xG 1.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
296 Passes 439
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao saw off Benfica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Benfica carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Famalicao had 41% of the ball to Benfica's 59%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.80 to 1.76 — on chances, Benfica could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Famalicao and 2.00 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Benfica?

Famalicao 2-0 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 22%, draw 22%, Benfica 56%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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