Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
PORLC
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
PORLC
0-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
Sporting Braga 4-3 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga nicked a narrow win over Casa Pia 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 56% of the ball to Casa Pia's 44%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.71 to 1.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.60 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia?
Sporting Braga 4-3 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 61%, draw 22%, Casa Pia 17%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.