Farense 1-2 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.02
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
10%
5.4
X/2
16%
5.21
X/X
13%
4.03
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.81
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.25/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.82
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.3 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Moreirense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Farense Farense 0-1 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
23.09.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR
23.07.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Farense Farense PRLK
07.04.2023 Farense Farense 3-1 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR2
23.10.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 3-2 HT 1-1 Farense Farense POR2
08.02.2021 Farense Farense 1-2 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
1-2
AWAY Moreirense
1.40 xG 2.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 29
35 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farense vs Moreirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense nicked a narrow win over Farense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Moreirense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense had 53% of the ball to Moreirense's 47%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.40 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Farense and 1.50 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Farense vs Moreirense?

Farense 1-2 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Farense 32%, draw 30%, Moreirense 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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