Chernomorets 1-3 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.43
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.69
Over
43%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.08
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
1%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Chernomorets The Market 23%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva The Market 59%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.81
1.43 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.86
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2025 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 HT 1-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
17.11.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
01.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
12.11.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 4-0 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
01.11.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 3-0 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RKBL
23.07.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
1 - 3
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Chernomorets vs FK Rodina Moskva
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Rodina Moskva took care of Chernomorets 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Chernomorets had 56% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 44%, shots finished 16-11.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chernomorets and 1.67 for FK Rodina Moskva.

Chernomorets vs FK Rodina Moskva Result & Final Score

Chernomorets 1 - 3 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chernomorets vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 18%, draw 26%, FK Rodina Moskva 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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