Bangkok United 4-1 Ayutthaya United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
70%
+2.4pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.78/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.32
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
18.8 Crosses 11.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ayutthaya United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.83 xG 1.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 144
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2025 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 3-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
4-1
AWAY Ayutthaya United
1.68 xG 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
310 Passes 201
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United swept aside Ayutthaya United 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bangkok United had 57% of the ball to Ayutthaya United's 43%, shots finished 25-17, expected goals 1.68 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya United?

Bangkok United 4-1 Ayutthaya United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 72%, draw 17%, Ayutthaya United 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
2 May 2026
14:00 Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai Analysis →
15:00 Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi Analysis →
15:30 Thai Port FC vs Buriram United Analysis →