Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.11
+3% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.6 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.12 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
249 Passes 351
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
21.02.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-2 HT 1-2 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
05.10.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
10.03.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-3 HT 0-3 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
14.10.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 HT 1-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-0
AWAY Sukhothai
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima nicked a narrow win over Sukhothai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nakhon Ratchasima as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 49% of the ball to Sukhothai's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sukhothai led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 1.60 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 41%, draw 30%, Sukhothai 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✓ Under 2.5
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