Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sukhothai v Nakhon Ratchasima — Team-Based Signals
Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-3
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
1-1
HT 1-1
Sukhothai
TAY
Sukhothai 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima — Actual Match Statistics
Sukhothai edged past Nakhon Ratchasima 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sukhothai as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sukhothai had 60% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 40%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 3.01 to 1.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sukhothai's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sukhothai and 1.50 for Nakhon Ratchasima.
What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Sukhothai 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 55%, draw 24%, Nakhon Ratchasima 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sukhothai), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.