Chiangrai United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.10/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
-31% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.1 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.62 xG 0.49
43% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
226 Passes 306
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
04.10.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
22.01.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
21.08.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
1-1
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.29 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
189 Passes 194
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United and Lamphun Warrior couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chiangrai United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 51% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.29 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chiangrai United and 0.50 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Chiangrai United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 48%, draw 25%, Lamphun Warrior 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chiangrai United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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