Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.19/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.24
-26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
15.3 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.38 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
313 Passes 195
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
22.01.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
21.08.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1-0
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.83 xG 0.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
288 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior squeezed past Chiangrai United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lamphun Warrior as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 48% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 52%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.83 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 1.33 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai United?

Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 47%, draw 27%, Chiangrai United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lamphun Warrior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
23 Feb 2025
14:00 Bangkok United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Analysis →
15:00 Muang Thong United vs Buriram United Analysis →