Bangkok United 1-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.8pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.84/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.58
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
298 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 80%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.2 Crosses 11.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
373 Passes 180
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-3 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
21.01.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-1 HT 1-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
20.08.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
29.01.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
31.10.2021 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-1 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
1-0
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.77 xG 1.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
458 Passes 183
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United edged past Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bangkok United had 66% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 34%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.77 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Bangkok United and 1.00 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Bangkok United 1-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 61%, draw 18%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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