Muang Thong United vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Buriram United
TAY
4-4
HT 3-1
Buriram United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-1
Muang Thong United
TAY
0-1
HT 0-1
Buriram United
TAY
Muang Thong United 1-3 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics
Buriram United beat Muang Thong United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 38% of the ball to Buriram United's 62%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.37 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Muang Thong United.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Muang Thong United and 2.00 for Buriram United.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Buriram United?
Muang Thong United 1-3 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Buriram United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 32%, draw 25%, Buriram United 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.