Thai Port FC 3-1 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.25/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.54
-37% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.6 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 5.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Buriram United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
281 Passes 397
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 0-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
02.02.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 0-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
12.09.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
12.05.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 1-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
01.11.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAYFK
19.11.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
3-1
AWAY Buriram United
0.87 xG 0.78
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
205 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC saw off Buriram United 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 37% of the ball to Buriram United's 63%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.87 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.17 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Buriram United?

Thai Port FC 3-1 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 44%, draw 30%, Buriram United 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
2 May 2026
14:00 Nakhon Ratchasima vs Sukhothai Analysis →
14:30 Bangkok United vs Ayutthaya United Analysis →
15:00 Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi Analysis →