Samsunspor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samsunspor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals
Samsunspor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-0
Samsunspor
TSL
2-4
HT 2-0
Galatasaray
TSL
Samsunspor 4-1 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics
Samsunspor ran out comfortable winners over Galatasaray 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Galatasaray at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Samsunspor had 55% of the ball to Galatasaray's 45%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.79 to 1.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samsunspor and 3.00 for Galatasaray.
What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?
Samsunspor 4-1 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?
Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 26%, draw 21%, Galatasaray 53%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galatasaray) went the other way.