Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Başakşehir FK
TSL
2-0
HT 2-0
Başakşehir FK
TÜK
Fenerbahçe 3-1 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe got the better of Başakşehir FK 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Fenerbahçe had 49% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 51%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.62 to 1.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.50 for Başakşehir FK.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir FK?
Fenerbahçe 3-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 57%, draw 23%, Başakşehir FK 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.