Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
1-2
HT 0-1
Cerro
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
2-3
HT 0-2
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
Cerro 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado squeezed past Cerro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Maldonado found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cerro had 40% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 60%, shots finished 10-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro and 1.50 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Cerro 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro 32%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.