Juventud 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.11/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
23.02.2025 Juventud Juventud 1-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
26.10.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
2-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud squeezed past Montevideo Wanderers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventud as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventud had 55% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juventud had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Juventud and 1.00 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Juventud 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juventud 41%, draw 26%, Montevideo Wanderers 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventud) ✗ Under 2.5
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