Real Zaragoza 1-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.17
X/2
9%
8.43
X/X
17%
4.75
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
8%
6.48
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.42/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.5 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Albacete
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 248
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
26.03.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
06.12.2022 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
22.01.2021 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
11.10.2020 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
17.07.2020 Albacete Albacete 4-1 HT 3-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-1
AWAY Albacete
0.79 xG 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza and Albacete couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 44% of the ball to Albacete's 56%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.79 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.17 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Albacete?

Real Zaragoza 1-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 46%, draw 30%, Albacete 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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