Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

Belgrano Cordoba
1-0 HT 0-0
Argentinos Juniors
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.82
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.2
X/1
10%
5.27
X/2
12%
5.34
X/X
12%
3.41
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.21
2/X
7%
14.2
Value flag · 1/X at 14.2 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belgrano Cordoba v Argentinos Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.08
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
23.4 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.45 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
193 Passes 311
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.02.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-0 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
03.02.2019 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
16.09.2017 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-2 HT 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
11.07.2015 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
29.03.2014 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
05.10.2013 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-3 HT 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ

Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 Argentinos Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.95 xG 0.97
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
154 Passes 411
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 60
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba edged past Argentinos Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Belgrano Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 32% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 68%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.95 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 1.00 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors?

Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 40%, draw 30%, Argentinos Juniors 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5
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