Racing Club 1-0 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.5
X/1
21%
3.4
X/2
7%
14.9
X/X
11%
5.41
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
5%
13.25
2/X
7%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.46/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.52
-9% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.7 Crosses 11.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.66 xG 0.20
75% Ball Possession 25%
20 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 6
493 Passes 117
85% Pass Accuracy 58%
35 Box Touches 12
44 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club edged past Deportivo Riestra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club had 75% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 25%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.66 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Racing Club's control.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Deportivo Riestra?

Racing Club 1-0 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo Riestra 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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