Platense 1-0 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.44
Over 2.5
30%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.29
No
66%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.42
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
12%
7.37
X/2
18%
4.18
X/X
14%
3.31
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.97
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.3pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.06/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.94
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.1 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.85 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
215 Passes 366
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
19.08.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
20.02.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-1 HT 2-1 Platense Platense ARJ
07.08.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ARJ
26.08.2021 Platense Platense 1-3 HT 1-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-0
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.87 xG 0.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
228 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Platense vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense edged past Boca Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Boca Juniors at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Platense had 41% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 59%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.87 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Platense's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Platense and 2.20 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Platense vs Boca Juniors?

Platense 1-0 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Platense 27%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boca Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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