Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
14%
3.95
X/2
8%
7.19
X/X
12%
3.87
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
10%
6.35
2/X
10%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.40/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.52
+18% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.3 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.03 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
10.10.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
21.02.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
03.07.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
03.08.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
17.09.2019 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
1-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.70 xG 0.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
374 Passes 176
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
29 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 63% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 0.50 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman?

Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 47%, draw 29%, Atletico Tucuman 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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