Atletico Nacional 0-0 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Jun 2025

📅02/06/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.68/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.32
+31% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
18.0 Crosses 12.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
28.07.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
02.02.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
17.07.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
27.01.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
14.10.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
0-0
AWAY Once Caldas
2.18 xG 0.21
73% Ball Possession 27%
25 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
484 Passes 138
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional and Once Caldas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Nacional at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 73% of the ball to Once Caldas's 27%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.18 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Atletico Nacional 0-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 56%, draw 24%, Once Caldas 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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