Güney Afrika 1-0 Esvatini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Cosfa Cup, 2 Jul 2024

📅02/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Esvatini EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.98/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.37
-51% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Afrika
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Esvatini
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.07.2023 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 2-1 HT 0-0 Esvatini Esvatini CAFCOS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
1-0
AWAY Esvatini
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Esvatini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika squeezed past Esvatini 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Güney Afrika as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 47% of the ball to Esvatini's 53%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Esvatini?

Güney Afrika 1-0 Esvatini in the CAF Cosfa Cup on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Esvatini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 50%, draw 27%, Esvatini 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Afrika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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