Komorlar 1-0 Zambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Cosfa Cup, 2 Jul 2024

📅02/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Komorlar EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zambiya EU Bookmakers 40%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Komorlar
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Zambiya
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.48 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
232 Passes 334
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Komorlar Komorlar 1-1 HT 1-0 Zambiya Zambiya AFUK
09.07.2023 Zambiya Zambiya 2-1 HT 0-0 Komorlar Komorlar CAFCOS
07.06.2022 Zambiya Zambiya 2-1 HT 1-1 Komorlar Komorlar AFUK
04.09.2011 Komorlar Komorlar 1-2 HT 1-1 Zambiya Zambiya AFUK
05.09.2010 Zambiya Zambiya 4-0 HT 3-0 Komorlar Komorlar AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Komorlar
1-0
AWAY Zambiya
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Komorlar vs Zambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Komorlar squeezed past Zambiya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Komorlar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Komorlar had 32% of the ball to Zambiya's 68%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zambiya led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Komorlar and 2.20 for Zambiya.

What was the final score of Komorlar vs Zambiya?

Komorlar 1-0 Zambiya in the CAF Cosfa Cup on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Komorlar vs Zambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Komorlar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Komorlar 37%, draw 31%, Zambiya 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Komorlar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Komorlar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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