Mozambik 3-1 Botsvana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Cosfa Cup, 2 Jul 2024

📅02/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
37%
2.7
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
25%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.4pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mozambik EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Botsvana EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mozambik
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Botsvana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2024 Botsvana Botsvana 1-1 HT 1-0 Mozambik Mozambik HAZ
16.11.2023 Botsvana Botsvana 2-3 HT 0-1 Mozambik Mozambik DKE
11.10.2008 Botsvana Botsvana 0-1 HT 0-1 Mozambik Mozambik DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mozambik
3-1
AWAY Botsvana
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mozambik vs Botsvana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mozambik got the better of Botsvana 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 37% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mozambik found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mozambik had 55% of the ball to Botsvana's 45%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mozambik had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mozambik and 1.00 for Botsvana.

What was the final score of Mozambik vs Botsvana?

Mozambik 3-1 Botsvana in the CAF Cosfa Cup on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mozambik vs Botsvana?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mozambik 28%, draw 37%, Botsvana 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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