Kenya 2-0 Zimbabve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Cosfa Cup, 2 Jul 2024

📅02/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.38
Over 2.5
37%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
69%
-6.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
31%
+6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kenya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbabve EU Bookmakers 31%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kenya
2-0
AWAY Zimbabve
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kenya vs Zimbabve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kenya saw off Zimbabve 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Kenya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kenya had 46% of the ball to Zimbabve's 54%, shots finished 5-6.

What was the final score of Kenya vs Zimbabve?

Kenya 2-0 Zimbabve in the CAF Cosfa Cup on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kenya vs Zimbabve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kenya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kenya 36%, draw 32%, Zimbabve 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kenya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kenya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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