Botsvana 1-1 Mozambik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jan 2024

📅08/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.3
2-3 Goals
47%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botsvana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Mozambik EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botsvana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mozambik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2023 Botsvana Botsvana 2-3 HT 0-1 Mozambik Mozambik DKE
11.10.2008 Botsvana Botsvana 0-1 HT 0-1 Mozambik Mozambik DKE
POST-MATCH Botsvana vs Mozambik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botsvana and Mozambik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mozambik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mozambik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botsvana and 2.00 for Mozambik.

What was the final score of Botsvana vs Mozambik?

Botsvana 1-1 Mozambik in the Friendlies on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botsvana vs Mozambik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mozambik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botsvana 34%, draw 25%, Mozambik 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mozambik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mozambik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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