Twente 2-2 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jan 2024

Twente
2-2 HT 1-0
Osnabrück
📅08/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Twente vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
12%
4.12
X/2
11%
9.59
X/X
14%
6.11
2/1
7%
20.25
2/2
12%
6.65
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
3.01/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.00
+64% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +70%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
5.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Twente vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente and Osnabrück couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Twente at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Twente vs Osnabrück?

Twente 2-2 Osnabrück in the Friendlies on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Twente 43%, draw 27%, Osnabrück 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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