08/01/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Volendam vs Winterthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
25%
Draw
25%
36%
Away Win
34%
46%
Under 2.5
35%
54%
Over 2.5
65%
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
48%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Volendam v Winterthur — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Volendam
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Winterthur
EU Bookmakers 38%
-38% /
-38%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-49% /
-49%
1.34/2.33
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.23
-11%
/
-49%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
-40%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
312 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
336 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Volendam vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Volendam saw off Winterthur 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Volendam made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Volendam vs Winterthur?
Volendam 2-0 Winterthur in the Friendlies on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Volendam vs Winterthur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Volendam 39%, draw 25%, Winterthur 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Volendam)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
8 Jan 2024