Heidenheim 2-0 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jan 2024

📅08/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.98
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.78
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.23
X/2
10%
6.91
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
20%
4.07
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.78/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.25
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Paderborn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 371
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 3-2 HT 1-2 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
05.11.2022 Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
18.12.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
24.07.2021 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
23.02.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 2-2 HT 1-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
03.10.2020 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim saw off Paderborn 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Heidenheim made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidenheim had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Heidenheim and 1.00 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Paderborn?

Heidenheim 2-0 Paderborn in the Friendlies on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 39%, draw 22%, Paderborn 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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