Senegal 1-0 Nijer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jan 2024

📅08/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.67
No
65%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 30% vs market 16.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
-21.2pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.1pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+13.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
33%
+2.0pp
65%
BTTS No
67%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Senegal EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijer EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/1.06
-24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / +130%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
463 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Senegal vs Nijer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senegal edged past Nijer 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Senegal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Senegal vs Nijer?

Senegal 1-0 Nijer in the Friendlies on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Senegal vs Nijer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Senegal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Senegal 59%, draw 23%, Nijer 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Senegal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Senegal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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