FC Cincinnati vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati 1-0 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati nicked a narrow win over Queretaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 54% of the ball to Queretaro's 46%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.72 to 0.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Cincinnati's control.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Queretaro?
FC Cincinnati 1-0 Queretaro in the Concacaf League Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 48%, draw 26%, Queretaro 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.