Portland Timbers 4-0 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.93
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 30%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-1 HT 4-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
24.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 2-2 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
13.07.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
26.06.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
01.05.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-0 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
26.11.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
4-0
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.35 xG 1.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
470 Passes 380
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers cruised past Colorado Rapids 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 55% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.35 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portland Timbers and 0.83 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

Portland Timbers 4-0 Colorado Rapids in the Concacaf League Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 44%, draw 25%, Colorado Rapids 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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