Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
3-1
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
5-0
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL2
Fortuna Sittard 2-3 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Sittard 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Sittard at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 49% of the ball to De Graafschap's 51%, shots finished 14-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.67 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap?
Fortuna Sittard 2-3 De Graafschap in the Friendlies on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 47%, draw 28%, De Graafschap 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.