Emmen 1-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
4.89
2-3 Goals
45%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.89 — our 23% vs market 15.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.5pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+19% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +61%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
403 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.01.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
24.09.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
23.04.2018 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
22.12.2017 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen squeezed past Den Bosch 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Emmen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Emmen and 0.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Den Bosch?

Emmen 1-0 Den Bosch in the Friendlies on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Emmen 38%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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