Groningen 2-0 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Aug 2024

Groningen
2-0 HT 1-0
Heracles
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Groningen vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.78 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v Heracles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.53/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.53
+91% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Groningen vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Heracles
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
373 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.04.2022 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
18.12.2021 Heracles Heracles 4-2 HT 2-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
30.01.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
23.12.2020 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
01.08.2020 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HAZ
31.08.2019 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL

Groningen 2-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
2-0
AWAY Heracles
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen beat Heracles 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Groningen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Groningen had 51% of the ball to Heracles's 49%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Groningen and 1.50 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Heracles?

Groningen 2-0 Heracles in the Friendlies on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Groningen 40%, draw 29%, Heracles 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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