Ternana 0-4 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
16%
+13.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
50%
Away Win
62%
-12.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
0-4
AWAY Olympiakos
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos ran out comfortable winners over Ternana 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Ternana had 53% of the ball to Olympiakos's 47%, shots finished 5-15.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Olympiakos?

Ternana 0-4 Olympiakos in the Friendlies on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ternana 29%, draw 21%, Olympiakos 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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