Den Bosch 1-2 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.71
1/2
5%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.89
X/2
13%
4.84
X/X
14%
4.96
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
24%
2.87
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.5pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.14/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.12
-28% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
18.9 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Emmen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.17 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 445
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.01.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
24.09.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
23.04.2018 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
22.12.2017 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
03.03.2017 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-2
AWAY Emmen
1.46 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
335 Passes 232
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen squeezed past Den Bosch 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 59% of the ball to Emmen's 41%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.46 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Den Bosch.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Den Bosch and 1.67 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Emmen?

Den Bosch 1-2 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 33%, draw 24%, Emmen 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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