Helmond Sport 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 May 2024

Helmond Sport
2-0 HT 1-0
FC Eindhoven
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.37
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
11%
4.43
X/2
12%
8.52
X/X
12%
5.44
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
14%
5.88
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helmond Sport v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.30/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.08
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.0 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
12.05.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
19.08.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
04.03.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
13.09.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
23.04.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2

Helmond Sport 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
2-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.53 xG 0.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
335 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport beat FC Eindhoven 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Helmond Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 51% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 49%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.53 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.17 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven?

Helmond Sport 2-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 40%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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