Fas U23 4-0 ABD U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 2 Aug 2024

Fas U23
4-0 HT 1-0
ABD U23
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Olympics – 2024

Fas U23 vs ABD U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.87
6+ Goals
12%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.94
X/2
15%
6.47
X/X
11%
4.2
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
5%
4.69
2/X
9%
13.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.94 — our 23% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fas U23 v ABD U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Fas U23 vs ABD U23 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ABD U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.34 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Fas U23 Fas U23 1-0 HT 1-0 ABD U23 ABD U23 HU23

Fas U23 4-0 ABD U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas U23
4-0
AWAY ABD U23
2.56 xG 0.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
419 Passes 361
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fas U23 vs ABD U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U23 ran out comfortable winners over ABD U23 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fas U23 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fas U23 had 53% of the ball to ABD U23's 47%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.56 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Fas U23 vs ABD U23?

Fas U23 4-0 ABD U23 in the Olympics on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas U23 vs ABD U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fas U23 48%, draw 26%, ABD U23 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas U23), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fas U23) ✓ BTTS No
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