Japonya U23 0-3 İspanya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
36%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.9
No
66%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.81
2-3 Goals
32%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
5%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 43% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.87
1/2
3%
26.5
1/X
3%
15.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
7.3
X/2
13%
4.12
X/X
20%
4.49
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.67
2/X
10%
14.85
Value flag · X/1 at 7.3 — our 19% vs market 9.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
36%
Away Win
48%
-11.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
49%
-14.9pp
66%
BTTS No
51%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.74 xG 1.31
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
307 Passes 821
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 6
03.08.2021 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 0-1 HT 0-0 İspanya U23 İspanya U23 OLİ
26.07.2012 İspanya U23 İspanya U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 OLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
0-3
AWAY İspanya U23
0.81 xG 1.06
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
285 Passes 491
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs İspanya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U23 swept aside Japonya U23 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day İspanya U23 made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 39% of the ball to İspanya U23's 61%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.81 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Japonya U23 and 0.50 for İspanya U23.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs İspanya U23?

Japonya U23 0-3 İspanya U23 in the Olympics on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs İspanya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 31%, draw 33%, İspanya U23 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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