Mısır U23 1-1 Paraguay U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 2 Aug 2024

Mısır U23
1-1 HT 0-0
Paraguay U23
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Olympics – 2024

Mısır U23 vs Paraguay U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.79
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.05
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.2
X/1
9%
4.96
X/2
19%
5.36
X/X
14%
3.27
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.51
2/X
11%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mısır U23 v Paraguay U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mısır U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mısır U23 1-1 Paraguay U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mısır U23
1-1
AWAY Paraguay U23
1.05 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
545 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mısır U23 vs Paraguay U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır U23 and Paraguay U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paraguay U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Mısır U23 had 59% of the ball to Paraguay U23's 41%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.05 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Mısır U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Mısır U23 1-1 Paraguay U23 in the Olympics on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mısır U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paraguay U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mısır U23 30%, draw 29%, Paraguay U23 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paraguay U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paraguay U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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