IFK Kumla 1-2 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.8pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 28%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +30%
0.98/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.38
-53% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2025 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
11.10.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-4 HT 0-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
15.06.2024 IFK Kumla 3-2 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
09.04.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
16.10.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 4-1 HT 4-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
14.08.2021 IFK Kumla 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK squeezed past IFK Kumla 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Kumla at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Kumla had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for IFK Kumla and 1.33 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK?

IFK Kumla 1-2 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 54%, draw 26%, Vanersborgs FK 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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