Greifswalder SV 3-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -13%
1.89/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.18
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2025 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
31.08.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-0 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-1 HT 2-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-2 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV swept aside Chemie Leipzig 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.00 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Chemie Leipzig?

Greifswalder SV 3-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 56%, draw 25%, Chemie Leipzig 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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