Luckenwalde 2-1 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.20/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.16
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2025 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.10.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
20.10.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.10.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde squeezed past Chemnitzer FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chemnitzer FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.50 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?

Luckenwalde 2-1 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 27%, draw 28%, Chemnitzer FC 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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