Standard Liege vs Dender EH Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Standard Liege v Dender EH — Team-Based Signals
Standard Liege vs Dender EH Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Standard Liege
BEK
3-2
HT 2-2
Dender EH
BEL
Standard Liege 1-1 Dender EH — Actual Match Statistics
Standard Liege and Dender EH shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Standard Liege at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Standard Liege had 46% of the ball to Dender EH's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.20 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Standard Liege and 0.50 for Dender EH.
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Dender EH?
Standard Liege 1-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Dender EH?
Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 45%, draw 27%, Dender EH 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Standard Liege) went the other way.